Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ORLENE-22
in Mexico
01 Oct 2022 15 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ORLENE-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Mexico
    Exposed population 110 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 213 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (03 Oct 19:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)
    Landfall between
    03 Oct 2022 00:00 - 03 Oct 2022 12:00
    in Mexico

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 120 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 213 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      120 km/h Current Max.

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      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 29 Sep 2022 03:00 139 930 thousand No people Mexico
        Green 2 29 Sep 2022 09:00 139 1.8 million No people Mexico
        Orange 3 29 Sep 2022 15:00 120 1.8 million 810 thousand Mexico
        Green 4 29 Sep 2022 21:00 157 2 million 90 thousand Mexico
        Green 5 30 Sep 2022 03:00 157 2.1 million 40 thousand Mexico
        Green 6 30 Sep 2022 09:00 167 710 thousand 3 thousand Mexico
        Green 7 30 Sep 2022 15:00 157 920 thousand 4 thousand Mexico
        Orange 8 30 Sep 2022 21:00 130 1 million 250 thousand Mexico
        Orange 9 01 Oct 2022 03:00 120 1.8 million 110 thousand Mexico
        Green 10 01 Oct 2022 09:00 148 1.6 million 20 thousand Mexico
        Orange 11 01 Oct 2022 15:00 120 1.1 million 110 thousand Mexico

        Bulletin Timeline

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          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

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          Provinces

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          Populated places

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          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

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          Ports

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          Dams

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          Nuclear plants

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          Nuclear power plants

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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          StormSurge

          No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.